PgaTour

Win probabilities: TOUR Championship

Win probabilities: TOUR Championship

2020 TOUR Championship, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: Dustin Johnson (1, -13, 32.7%) Xander Schauffele (3, -11, 18.0%) Sungjae Im (2, -12, 14.5%) Justin Thomas (4, -10, 10.6%) Jon Rahm (T5, -9, 9.0%) Collin Morikawa (T5, -9, 4.5%) Rory McIlroy (T8, -8, 4.0%) Tyrrell Hatton (T5, -9, 2.9%) Brendon Todd (T8, -8, 1.2%) Patrick Reed (T11, -6, 0.5%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Sebastian Munoz +4.6 Around the Green: Mackenzie Hughes +1.5 Approach the Green: Sungjae Im +4.3 Off-the-tee: Lanto Griffin +1.4 Total: Sungjae Im +5.3 NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the TOUR Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.


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